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Russia is unlikely to risk attacking the Baltic countries, while NATO remains prepared for any scenario. This was stated by the Supreme Allied Commander Europe, U.S. General Alexus Grynkewich, according to DW, UATV English reports.
Grynkewich expressed confidence that Russia understands it would be unable to achieve success in the event of an attack on the Baltic states. Given this, Moscow is unlikely to take such a risk.
He added that NATO is closely monitoring the movement of Russian troops and analyzing intelligence data in cooperation with member states.
According to Grynkewich, Russia does not seek a direct conflict with NATO and understands that the Alliance possesses a number of advantages that are beyond Moscow’s reach. At the same time, the general assured that NATO is prepared for any scenario.
“If such a scenario were to arise, we are certainly ready. All 32 countries are ready to fight today,” Grynkewich said.
Earlier in June, Kaspars Pudāns, Chief of Defence of Latvia, described what he called a potential “window” for a Russian invasion. He noted that Russia’s advantage over NATO countries lies not in technology but in its ability to rapidly produce and adapt drones for wartime needs. In his view, Russia could also try to exploit the slow pace of European rearmament, as most military modernization programs are not expected to become fully operational before 2029.
Meanwhile, analysts modeled a scenario of a possible Russian invasion of Lithuania and concluded that Russia would lose a war against NATO within ten days, but only under one condition. They also found that the large-scale use of modern AI-enabled drones could significantly shift the balance of the conflict in the Alliance’s favor.
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