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By February 24, Russian troops may try to reach the administrative borders of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. Russia is preparing to escalate, but they have technical problems. Victor Yagun, a military and public figure, Major General of the Reserve of the Security Service of Ukraine, Deputy Chairman of the SBU (2014-2015), said this on the air of the FREEDOM TV channel.
The guest of the broadcast recalled that the Russian Federation had already announced that a speech by the head of the Kremlin, Putin, was being prepared before the federal assembly. And he needs a message.
“He can’t just talk about something, he needs a certain message, or some kind of offensive threat towards our Western allies and Ukraine, or report some kind of victory, success at the front,” Yagun believes.
The expert assumes that by February 24 the Russian occupation troops will not only try to become more active, but massively push through the Ukrainian defenses and reach the borders of the Lugansk and Donetsk regions.
“There is the most favorable situation for them, as they think. And the constant shelling of even civilian infrastructure suggests that they are really preparing for some kind of escalation. But they have a significant problem – the lack of the necessary military equipment in order to provide troops for rapid movement, ”Yagun emphasized.
The infantry units of the RF Armed Forces actually became the basis of their troops. And motorized rifle units have turned into rifle units, he added.
“How will they solve this problem? Perhaps the concentration of everything that is possible on one of the few sectors of the front. Possibly,” the expert said.
The most dangerous areas, according to him, are Donetsk, the area of Bakhmut, Avdiivka.
“Also, the Lugansk direction, this is Kremennaya, Svatovo, where the invaders have now actually stopped our small advance and are trying to go on the counteroffensive,” Yagun specified.
He also emphasizes that the Zaporizhzhia direction should not be discounted.
“At the moment, Russian troops are trying to conduct small battles in the Zaporizhzhia direction, that is, to probe our defenses. They still do not leave the desire to go to Zaporizhzhia, because Zaporizhzhia seems to be in front of them, they don’t see any natural barriers there. And they have such an opinion that if you press hard, then in principle you can reach the borders of the Zaporizhzhia region. This will protect them from the possibility of an offensive by Ukraine towards the Sea of Azov and will remove the threat to Melitopol and Berdyansk. These are the three main directions, ”summed up Yagun.
Earlier, Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council (NSDC) of Ukraine Oleksiy Danilov said that Russian President Putin could try to launch a large-scale attack from the north, south and east of Ukraine, as happened on February 24, 2022, timed to coincide with the anniversary of the war.
