Estonian Intelligence Details Impact of Successful Ukrainian Strikes on Russia’s Economy

One of the affected oil refineries in Russia. Photo: t.me/GeneralStaffZSU

Ukraine’s successful air attacks on Russia, whose new targets include Wildberries warehouses, are inflicting tangible damage on the Russian economy, according to a review by the intelligence center of Estonia’s Defense Forces.

The Estonian intelligence review is cited by ERR, UATV English reports.

The review notes that such attacks are deepening the deterioration of the business climate in Russia: according to the Russian central bank’s assessment, the corresponding index fell in July to -3.6 points, the lowest reading since mid-2022.

“And although this week President Putin again tried to create the impression that the Russian economy is doing relatively well — claiming, for example, 0.3 percent growth in May — Ukraine’s long-range strikes are changing this reality,” Estonian intelligence officials report.

The report recalls that over the past seven days, warehouses belonging to the company Wildberries were added as a new category of targets in Ukrainian attacks, having been struck in Moscow and Tambov regions, as well as in Krasnodar and Stavropol krais.

“A significant share of Russia’s population uses the services of Wildberries and its competitor Ozon, so the Ukrainian attacks have a significant effect beyond the direct economic damage, which could reach two billion dollars. The impact of the Ukrainian strikes is illustrated by the fact that in 2025, the total value of goods sold by Wildberries was equivalent to roughly three percent of the Russian Federation’s gross domestic product (GDP),” the report states.

In addition, the intelligence center noted that Ukraine, as part of Operation “MoLoChKa,” continued to deliver intensive medium-range strikes on Russian shipping in the Azov and Black Seas.

The main targets of Ukrainian attacks were Russian vessels supplying goods to the occupied Crimean peninsula, as well as road transport used for the same purpose.

“The volume of road transport moving to Crimea by land shrank by 70 percent in June, and strict restrictions on civilian traffic have now been introduced on the roads leading to Crimea. According to the assessment of Robert Brovdi, commander of Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces, attacks on ferries have reduced the throughput of the Kerch ferry crossing by 75 percent,” the intelligence center reported.

Alongside this, Ukrainian drones are deliberately targeting Crimea’s energy infrastructure: since the start of July, more than 100 energy facilities on the peninsula have been successfully struck.

As a result, energy consumption restrictions have been introduced across the entire region, and more than 50% of the population is experiencing prolonged power outages.

At the same time, Crimea’s occupation authorities have admitted they are unable either to ensure regular fuel deliveries or to draw up power outage schedules.

Estonian intelligence recently noted that Russia is beginning to tighten control over its population even further, fearing discontent.

The intelligence center also noted that Russia is responding to Ukraine’s successful strikes by intensifying its information war against the West.

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