{"id":1319828,"date":"2026-03-08T16:01:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-08T14:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uatv.ua\/?p=1319828"},"modified":"2026-03-04T10:25:02","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T08:25:02","slug":"pro-kremlin-experts-admit-russia-s-economy-on-brink-of-collapse-intelligence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uatv.ua\/en\/pro-kremlin-experts-admit-russia-s-economy-on-brink-of-collapse-intelligence\/","title":{"rendered":"Pro-Kremlin experts admit Russia\u2019s economy on brink of collapse \u2013 intelligence"},"content":{"rendered":"

Leading economic institutions in Russia have confirmed that the country\u2019s economy is on the verge of stagflation, UATV English<\/a> reports.<\/p>\n

This was reported by the\u00a0Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine<\/a>\u00a0(FISU).<\/p>\n

The institutions in question are Kremlin-linked: the Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting, the Higher School of Economics, and the Central Bank of Russia.<\/p>\n

According to FISU, the composite leading indicator of the economy entering recession since November 2025 has exceeded 0.44, with a critical threshold of 0.12.<\/p>\n

The symmetric indicator of recovery from recession fell to 0.05 in November 2025, compared to 0.10 in October, remaining well below the critical level of 0.35.<\/p>\n

\u201cThis means not only a high probability of recession, but also extremely low chances of a quick recovery,\u201d the intelligence report notes.<\/p>\n

The agency added that analysts warn of the risk of a prolonged downturn lasting over a year.<\/p>\n

The industrial sector is showing a steady decline. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI index for January 2026 remains below 50 points, in the reduction zone. Profitability in industry has fallen from 20% to 12% since September 2024 and continues to decline.<\/p>\n

Consumer confidence is collapsing. The Russian research organization Levada Center reports that the economic expectations index fell to 113 points in January, down from 140 in 2024. The consumer sentiment index returned to late-2022 levels \u2013 98 points \u2013 indicating prevailing pessimism among Russians.<\/p>\n

The baseline scenario for 2026, according to estimates by Russian institutions themselves, is a further slowdown amid weak GDP growth and declining investment, with a real risk of technical recession.<\/p>\n

As previously reported, trade turnover between the EU and Russia has fallen to the lowest levels in recorded history.<\/p>\n

Read also:<\/strong> Zelenskyy: It Is Too Early to Judge the Negotiating Team Led by Budanov<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Leading economic institutions in Russia have confirmed that the country\u2019s economy is …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":31,"featured_media":1263988,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13,49,36415,53,36422,50],"tags":[76,78],"sources":[],"class_list":["post-1319828","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-news-en","category-11473-news-en","category-russia-en","category-11473-news-en-3","category-svit-en","tag-glavnoe-en","tag-homepage-en"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPro-Kremlin experts admit Russia\u2019s economy on brink of collapse \u2013 intelligence - Freedom<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/uatv.ua\/en\/pro-kremlin-experts-admit-russia-s-economy-on-brink-of-collapse-intelligence\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pro-Kremlin experts admit Russia\u2019s economy on brink of collapse \u2013 intelligence - 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