{"id":1284587,"date":"2026-01-08T20:01:00","date_gmt":"2026-01-08T18:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uatv.ua\/?p=1284587"},"modified":"2026-01-08T17:04:57","modified_gmt":"2026-01-08T15:04:57","slug":"arrest-of-venezuela-s-maduro-undermines-russia-s-position-in-latin-america-ukrainian-intelligence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uatv.ua\/en\/arrest-of-venezuela-s-maduro-undermines-russia-s-position-in-latin-america-ukrainian-intelligence\/","title":{"rendered":"Arrest of Venezuela\u2019s Maduro Undermines Russia\u2019s Position in Latin America \u2014 Ukrainian Intelligence"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The <strong>arrest of Venezuelan President Nicol\u00e1s Maduro<\/strong> and the potential <strong>transfer of control over the country\u2019s oil assets to the United States<\/strong> represent a major <strong>financial and geopolitical blow to Russia<\/strong>, significantly weakening Moscow\u2019s influence in Latin America and threatening its budget stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This assessment was published by the <strong>Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine (SZRU)<\/strong> on Telegram, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/uatv.ua\/en\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">UATV English<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to intelligence analysis, the concentration of <strong>more than half of the world\u2019s proven oil reserves under U.S. influence<\/strong> would give Washington powerful leverage over global energy markets. In particular, it could enable the United States to <strong>keep the price of Russian oil at around $50 per barrel<\/strong> \u2014 a level described as <strong>critical for Russia\u2019s state budget<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Such price pressure would severely limit the Kremlin\u2019s ability to finance both its economy and military operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Additional strain comes from Venezuela\u2019s outstanding debts to Russia. Between <strong>2006 and 2017<\/strong>, Moscow provided the Venezuelan government and the state oil company <strong>PDVSA<\/strong> with approximately <strong>$17 billion in loans<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As of 2017, <strong>Caracas owed Russia $3.5 billion<\/strong>, with repayments postponed until <strong>2027<\/strong>. Ukrainian intelligence notes that <strong>the likelihood of recovering these funds is rapidly diminishing<\/strong> under the new political and security conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russia is also effectively <strong>losing control over Venezuelan oil assets<\/strong>. Stakes acquired by <strong>Rosneft<\/strong> in the late 2010s were transferred to <strong>Roszarubezhneft<\/strong> after U.S. sanctions were imposed on PDVSA. However, intelligence analysts assess that <strong>effective management of these assets under sanctions and political pressure is no longer realistic<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Taken together, a possible <strong>restructuring of Venezuela\u2019s oil sector under U.S. control<\/strong> would deprive Moscow of <strong>one of its few energy footholds outside Eurasia<\/strong>. This development highlights the <strong>structural vulnerability of Russia\u2019s economy<\/strong> and its <strong>critical dependence on external control over global oil prices<\/strong>, the intelligence service concludes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Earlier reports said that <strong>explosions rocked Caracas on January 3<\/strong>, leaving parts of the city without electricity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>U.S. President <strong>Donald Trump<\/strong> later announced that the United States had carried out a <strong>\u201clarge-scale strike\u201d in Venezuela<\/strong>, stating that <strong>President Nicol\u00e1s Maduro and his wife had been detained and removed from the country<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Venezuela\u2019s Interior Minister <strong>Diosdado Cabello<\/strong> claimed that <strong>around 100 people were killed and a similar number wounded<\/strong> during U.S. airstrikes conducted as Maduro was captured.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The arrest of Venezuelan President Nicol\u00e1s Maduro and the potential transfer of &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":67,"featured_media":1284594,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13,49,36418,36415],"tags":[78],"sources":[],"class_list":["post-1284587","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-news-en","category-11473-news-en-2","category-11473-news-en","tag-homepage-en"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - 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