{"id":1249992,"date":"2025-11-09T12:40:00","date_gmt":"2025-11-09T10:40:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uatv.ua\/?p=1249992"},"modified":"2025-11-09T11:59:26","modified_gmt":"2025-11-09T09:59:26","slug":"swarm-strategy-the-future-of-deterrence-in-eastern-europe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uatv.ua\/en\/swarm-strategy-the-future-of-deterrence-in-eastern-europe\/","title":{"rendered":"Swarm Strategy: The Future of Deterrence in Eastern Europe"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Ukraine, Poland, and Lithuania are shaping a new model of defense \u2014 one built not around heavy armor, but around autonomous drones and real-time tech superiority.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Read more in the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/thegaze.media\/news\/swarm-strategy-the-future-of-deterrence-in-eastern-europe\">article<\/a>\u00a0by\u00a0<strong>Dmytro Levus<\/strong>, foreign policy expert, analyst at kyiv-based United Ukraine Think Tank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Firstly, the author explains that more than three years into Russia\u2019s full-scale invasion, the security logic of Eastern Europe is shifting. Instead of relying on classic NATO-style layered defense, states on the eastern flank are turning to mobile, technology-driven, relatively low-cost \u2014 but still highly lethal \u2014 deterrence built on the mass use of combat UAVs. Kyiv, Warsaw, and Vilnius are positioning themselves at the center of this shift and are already designing a joint system to deter Russia using autonomous unmanned platforms. This isn\u2019t just a reaction to the current war \u2014 it\u2019s a strategy for the long haul, for a future in which the Russian threat persists and the conflict may be \u201cfrozen\u201d but not resolved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since 2022, Ukraine has gained unparalleled experience in drone-centric warfare \u2014 from naval surface drones that forced back the Russian Black Sea Fleet, to long-range strikes on oil refineries and airbases in Russia, to massive frontline FPV use. Western militaries now view this as one of the most important innovations of the war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Secondly, policy expert argues that NATO data indicates that in 2024\u20132025, up to 50,000 FPV drone attacks were carried out on the Ukrainian front each month, with destruction rates against armored targets above 40%. In effect, Ukraine has been able to partially substitute artillery with drones, ease pressure on air defense by hitting Russian logistics in the rear with loitering munitions, and form a new combat culture built around unmanned systems.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thirdly, Levus emphasizes that Poland and Lithuania, understanding that a new round of Russian pressure \u2014 whether through hybrid actions or a potential strike toward the Suwa\u0142ki Gap \u2014 is only a matter of time, are choosing to invest not only in traditional weapons but also in \u201caffordable strategic deterrence\u201d: drone groupings along the border and at sea.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since the beginning of Russia\u2019s aggression, Poland, Ukraine, and Lithuania have tightened military cooperation \u2014 through the Lithuanian-Polish-Ukrainian brigade format, the Lublin Triangle, and joint drills. Now this cooperation is evolving into a shared system of technological deterrence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, the expert concludes that deterrence in the 21st century looks different: instead of tanks and large air formations, it is increasingly about swarms of UAVs \u2014 cheaper, quicker to deploy, and not dependent on mass mobilization. Ukraine, Poland, and Lithuania are proving that even next to a large-scale war, it is possible to build an effective security framework on technology, readiness to defend oneself, and trust among partners.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is the new Eastern European formula: don\u2019t wait for the strike \u2014 make sure the adversary constantly expects a wave of unseen drones on the horizon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Read the full article by\u00a0<strong><strong>Dmytro Levus<\/strong><\/strong>\u00a0on The Gaze:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/thegaze.media\/news\/swarm-strategy-the-future-of-deterrence-in-eastern-europe\">Swarm Strategy: The Future of Deterrence in Eastern Europe<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Read also:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/uatv.ua\/en\/without-ukraine-europe-cannot-build-a-just-world-interview-with-mykola-tochytskyi\/\">Without Ukraine, Europe Cannot Build a Just World: Interview with Mykola Tochytskyi<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ukraine, Poland, and Lithuania are shaping a new model of defense \u2014 &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":31,"featured_media":1249994,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[59],"tags":[76,78],"sources":[],"class_list":["post-1249992","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-publications-en","tag-glavnoe-en","tag-homepage-en"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - 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