Russians will face significant difficulties in counterattacks in Kursk region – ISW

ISW map. Photo: understandingwar.org

Experts from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) report minor advances by Russian forces in the Kursk region in areas not fully controlled by Ukrainian forces. However, they are likely to face greater difficulties in further counterattacks in areas held by Ukrainian troops.

Direct quote: “Russian forces continued counterattacking throughout the Ukrainian salient in the Kursk region on September 12 but achieved only minor gains, likely due to ongoing Ukrainian offensive operations and defensive counterattacks in the area.”

Details: Geolocated footage published on September 12 indicates that Russian forces made minor advances west of Vyshnivka (southwest of Korenovo) and in the north of Krasnooktyabrsky (southwest of Korenovo).

Russia’s Ministry of Defense claimed that Russian troops recaptured 10 settlements to the south and southwest of Korenovo since the start of counterattacks on the night of September 10-11, including Apanasivka, Byakhovo, Vyshnivka, Viktorivka, Nezapne, Hordiivka, Krasnooktyabrsky, Obukhivka, Snagost, and 10th October.

Analysts note that all these settlements are within the previously claimed Russian line of advance, and ISW has not yet seen visual confirmation of Russian forces retaking any of these settlements, except parts of Snagost and Krasnooktyabrsky.

Geolocated footage published on September 12 shows Ukrainian infantry advancing across the border into Tyotkino (about 40 km southwest of the current Ukrainian front line in the Kursk region).

Additional geolocated footage from September 12 shows Ukrainian armored vehicles and infantry bypassing Russian anti-tank defenses (“Dragon’s Teeth”) on the Russia-Ukraine border southwest of Novyi Put (southwest of Hlushkovo), indicating that Ukrainian forces have advanced in the area and that Russian forces were unprepared to use these defenses to repel cross-border Ukrainian attacks.

Russian sources claim that Ukrainian forces continue advancing near the settlements of Novyi Put, Medvezhe (southeast of Hlushkovo), Snagost, Olhivka (east of Korenovo), and Fanaseivka (southeast of Sudzha).

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