Putin will not declare a full-scale war – the political strategist named the reason

No one, including Russian President Vladimir Putin, will blame Wagner PMC for the military failure, because by the time the war ends, Wagner PMC will have absolutely nothing left but the name. This was announced today, on March 6, on the air of the FREEDOM TV channel by political strategist Boris Tizenhausen.

“Because in the fall, the 50,000 mercenaries that Prigozhin recruited have now turned into a maximum of 10,000, and maybe even less. And Prigogine is inflating his worth. Prigogine is not as dumb as he looks. He acquired a whole army of information resources, journalists, political technologists. He periodically inflates his price. It is clear that the army generals do not have such an informational arsenal. Maybe they would be there too … Girkin partially has it, so Girkin also periodically comes out and draws an apocalyptic scenario – “if mobilization is not announced, we will all die, we will surrender, Russia surrenders” and so on, ”he said.

According to the political strategist, in fact, it is, the Russians should listen to this.

“Because I don’t believe in declaring a large-scale war by Putin. He won’t do it for one simple reason. I mean in order to somehow stimulate mobilization. For one simple reason – when Putin, if he suddenly declares war, then two scenarios are already possible in the war – either victory or defeat. Putin will not see victory, we all understand this very well, even his inner circle understands. But the so-called “special operation” is a story that you can always stop at any moment, say: “Stop, we are completing the special operation, the goals have been achieved, goodbye, we leave all the lands to Ukraine.” Even so it is possible. Therefore, Putin will not declare a full-scale war, ”Tizengauzen believes.

He notes that in doing so, Putin fell into the trap of understanding ordinary Russians how victory should look like in general.

“Putin himself created this trap with his own hands. It lies in the fact that Putin, like his court propagandists, they very often began to draw parallels between this war and World War II. He is there “German tanks again with crosses against us.” And when they started to do this, the Russians had an image of the victory that was there. They are waiting for victory with the defeat of the enemy army, the capture of the Reichstag, etc. It can’t be, it’s a fantasy, it will never happen. But they imagined such a victory for themselves, ”says the political strategist.

If you ask the Russians on the street now, how do you see the victory, they will say exactly that: “We beat everyone, destroyed everyone, we are such good fellows.” And this is impossible.

“It’s hard to say now how Putin will sell defeat for victory. But then again, it seems to me that he does not care how the Russians will perceive it. Did someone even ask them before mobilization or before the partial closure of borders? No one asks them, so the Russians will sit quietly, in silence. And they are already throwing theses into the information field about “it’s not bad to live in Iran, Iran is under sanctions, and it would be nice for us that way.” That is, I think that the Russians are waiting for a very dull next 20 years, ”concluded Boris Tizenhausen.